the true playoff picture

[Jimi_Xicano]

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/9817776


Updated Dec. 18 after Bengals-Colts

AFC EAST DIVISION
New England can clinch division title with:

1) NE win or tie, OR
2) NYJ loss or tie.

New England can clinch playoff berth with:

1) CIN/DEN tie.

AFC NORTH DIVISION
Baltimore has clinched division title.

Cincinnati can clinch playoff berth with:

1) CIN win + BUF loss or tie + NYJ loss, OR
2) CIN win + BUF loss or tie + JAX loss.

AFC SOUTH DIVISION
Indianapolis has clinched division title.

Indianapolis can clinch first-round bye with:

1) IND win + BAL loss.

AFC WEST DIVISION
San Diego has clinched division title

San Diego can clinch homefield advantage with:


1) SD win + BAL loss or tie, OR
2) SD tie + BAL loss + IND loss or tie.

San Diego can clinch first-round bye with:

1) SD win, OR
2) SD tie + IND loss or tie, OR
3) SD tie + BAL loss, OR
4) IND loss.

Denver can clinch playoff berth with:

1) DEN win + KC loss or tie + NYJ loss, OR
2) DEN win + KC loss or tie + JAX loss.

NFC EAST DIVISION
Dallas has clinched playoff berth.

Dallas can clinch division with:

1) DAL win.

Philadelphia can clinch playoff berth with:

1) PHI win, OR
2) PHI tie + NYG loss or tie, OR
3) PHI tie + ATL loss.

New York can clinch playoff berth with:

1) NYG win + MIN loss or tie + ATL loss + PHI win or tie + SEA win or tie, OR
2) NYG win + MIN loss or tie + ATL loss + PHI win or tie + SF loss or tie.

NFC NORTH DIVISION
Chicago has clinched homefield advantage throughout the NFC playoffs.

NFC SOUTH DIVISION
New Orleans has clinched division.

New Orleans can clinch first-round bye with:

1) NO win + DAL loss.

NFC WEST DIVISION
Seattle can clinch division with:

1) SEA win or tie, OR
2) SF loss or tie.
Arizona, Cleveland, Detroit, Houston, Miami, Oakland, Tampa Bay and Washington have been eliminated from playoff contention

[krowleey]

what about greenbay, or st louis they are not listed? thats off the top of my head without looking close.

[Nin£R_4_LifE]

what about greenbay, or st louis they are not listed? thats off the top of my head without looking close.

what does st loius have to do with anything, they cant win the west and i dont think they get a wildcard, im probz wrong about the wildcard so someon clarify

[Tracker]

Wow. Everything rides on this next game against Arizona for us. It is going to be interesting to see how our young team handles that kind of pressure, knowing that this is the biggest game of the year and the biggest game the 49ers have had in years and they are a part of it.

Man… It is only Tuesday and I am already fired up about this game. :wild:

[Nevyn]

what about greenbay, or st louis they are not listed? thats off the top of my head without looking close.

Thats the division picture only. St Louis and Green Bay can't win their divisions.

The wildcard scenarios aren't here and are too complicated. In some cases, the tiebreakers would come all the way down to strength of victory, whcih can't be determined yet.

[Fez]

Thats the division picture only. St Louis and Green Bay can't win their divisions.

The wildcard scenarios aren't here and are too complicated. In some cases, the tiebreakers would come all the way down to strength of victory, whcih can't be determined yet.

True dat.

Meanwhile we have to root for the Vikes to beat Green Bay next thursday. :yikes: And of course we must win our own game against 'zona.

[Nevyn]

True dat.

Meanwhile we have to root for the Vikes to beat Green Bay next thursday. :yikes: And of course we must win our own game against 'zona.

As I've already said I'm not ready to start worrying about other games until our boys show me they can hold up their end and win.

But for reference, here are some of the easier to figure out wild card scenarios for the NFC:

If Philidelphia wins another game, they are guaranteed at least a wild card berth (division tiebreaker over Giants). They can win the division, but if so, Dallas is already guaranteed a wild card.

Atlanta gets a wild card berth if they win both their games. This is because either Philidelphia or New York will have a worse record than 9-7, or if all 3 are at 9-7, Philidelphia will eliminate New York from the tiebreaker before New York's head to head vs Atlanta will count.

If the Giants win both their games, and Atlanta loses one or Philidelphia loses both, the Giants get a wildcard.

Any of those teams can also possibly win a wildcard at 8-8, but it gets infinitely more complicated.

http://www.nfl.com/standings/tiebreakers

The easier knock out scenarios for the 49ers for the wild card.

If we lose a game, we can't get a wild card
If GB wins out, we can't get a wild card.
If the Giants win one more game, we can't get a wild card. They out-tiebreak us and the only way that won't matter is if Philly knocks them out of a 3 way race, but we lose a 3 way race to Philly anyway.

After that, the picture gets downright weird. At a tie at 8-8, St Louis is irrelevant to us. We get down to the common opponent/strength of victory stage against Atlanta/Carolina.

The really odd one is that if we are in a 2-way tie at 8-8 with Minnesota, we win the tiebreaker, but if Minnesota, us , and either Atlanta or Carolina is in a 3 way tie at 8-8, Minnesota gets the wild card.

[Jimi_Xicano]

what about greenbay, or st louis they are not listed? thats off the top of my head without looking close.


they probably don't have a shot

[GoldRush49]

from visiting their board, looks like the bucs fans want to lose out for higher draft position:down:

[Fez]

from visiting their board, looks like the bucs fans want to lose out for higher draft position:down:

That isn't any different from last year for these boards... it doens't mean they'll lose on purpose. :unsure: